Climate Scenarios for Assessing Long Term Economic Impacts

Starting from the TCFD recommendations, we will talk about the transmission channels of climate risk on companies’ performance and how to use the scenario analysis as a tool for assessing exposure to climate risks and the potential long-term economic impacts.
The discussion on scenario analysis will emphasize the relevance of addressing climate risk – defined as a “gray rhino” because it’s a highly probable, yet all too often, neglected threat – and to evaluate strategic choices in a responsible way, providing board members the tools to develop an open mindset, so they are able to tame gray rhinos.

Introduction
Stefano Pareglio, Full Professor of Environmental and Energy Economics at Università Cattolica – Milan and advisor Deloitte Climate & Sustainability

The role of climate scenarios in building strategic planning
Giovanni Guastella, Associate Professor of Applied Economics at Università Cattolica – Milan and advisor Deloitte Climate & Sustainability

Discussion
Michele Wucker, Founder, Gray Rhino & Company and Author of “The Gray Rhino” (recently published in italian: “Il rinoceronte grigio: come prevedere e affrontare I rischi ovvi che spesso ignoriamo”)

Moderator
Sabrina Bruno, Full Professor of Comparative Company Law, Unical – Luiss G Carli, Member of the Governing Board Climate Governance Initiative and Steering Committee Chapter Zero Italy the Nedcommunity Climate Forum

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